2004-2023 CBS Interactive. The golf expert has been on a roll on his picks since last season. RELATED: Jon Rahms prescientand scaryquote. And which undervalued golfer is a must-roster? In fact, his last three tournaments in the states were on the Korn ferry Tour where he missed two cuts and didnt finish in the top 25 in the other. Our betting panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from PGA National; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; Gdula and your two authorstends to run hot once one of us hits an outright. He has been writing and broadcasting about golf for nearly 20 years. We've entered golf's '+1' era, Pat McAfee dished some juicy details about his recent golf trip with the Mannings to (maybe???) All Rights Reserved. From Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: In DFS formats, making money is all about finding value. Thats the amount of fantasy points returned per dollar spent. Shriners: Sungjae Im. Hes a name to watch. Whether you're betting on golf, playing in a fantasy golf leagues or competing in a DFS (DraftKings, FanDuel) event, our picks highlight the top players to watch this week. Fantasy Insider Sleeper Picks: WM Phoenix Open Taylor Montgomery (+180 for a Top 20) Yeah, yeah, the. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Honda Classic. WED UPDATE: WEATHER, FINAL BETS, DRAFTKINGS NOTES, 2023 Pebble Beach Picks & Preview | Info & Research | Stats/Tools, 2023 Pebble Beach DraftKings Picks | Player/Course Notes | Own Projections, Subscribe To the PME YouTube | Apple | Spotify | Insta | Twitter | E-Mail, Field: 156 PlayersCut: Top 60 and Ties after 54 HolesLineup Lock: Thursday, February 2Defending Champ: Tom Hoge. We missed out on him last year while he was figuring out his game on the Korn Ferry Tour, but now hes back and hes having himself a nice little year, starting with a top-five finish back in the Fall at the Fortinet and adding a pair of top-17 finishes in 11 starts since. Its quite strange, too, considering hed gained in seven of eight starts previous to the awful run. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Denny McCarthy (28-1, DraftKings) McCarthy has missed just one cut (Phoenix) in his last nine starts and has threatened the top of the board in Bermuda (T-6), Pebble Beach (T-4) and Genesis (T-14). January 10, 2022 DFS Golf Picks Digest the data, predictions, and insights from this article to help with your fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open in Hawaii, and check out our PGA Lineup Optimizer to make more informed player selections for your DFS lineups. Gdula: Jhonattan Vegas (+320, FanDuel) Overall, Vegas has played well at PGA National, and were seeing phenomenal ball-striking from him lately. The Northern Irishman was actually down by 10 through two holes Sunday but stormed back to claim the title. Visit SportsLine now to get Jim Holliman's Fantasy golf picks, all from the Fantasy expert who has been on fire with his picks, and find out. section: | slug: 2023-genesis-invitational-fantasy-golf-rankings-picks-sleepers-back-jon-rahm-avoid-xander-schauffele | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. 12:31 pm ET, you need to see the Fantasy golf projections and lineup advice from SportsLine Fantasy expert Jim Holliman, You can see who else to back this week at SportsLine, See who it is, along with the rest of Holliman's picks, at SportsLine, Visit SportsLine now to get Jim Holliman's Fantasy golf picks, all from the Fantasy expert who has been on fire with his picks, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, The American Express 2023 Fantasy golf picks, lineups, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. Scheffler is the defending champion of this event, and he's finished T-12 or . Gordons just as long as Mitchell (averages over 307 yards off the tee), so I think hes worth the flier. Ballengee lives in the Washington, D.C. area with his family. 4. And last week, bargain pick Matt Kuchar ($7,900) posted a top-10 finish and two more picks were in the top 15. The 30-year-old. In fact, the 24-year-old enters this week's event ranked inside the top-25 in strokes gained: tee-to-green (1.079), strokes gained: off-the-tee (.824) and driving accuracy percentage (66.96%). Poston. Three of the sharpest data scientists in golf, Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; and Pat Mayo of Mayo Media. Dustin Johnson and J.B. Holmes are the only two players to hit more than 100 drives over 300 yards at Pebble Golf Links during this event. 2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic Fantasy golf expert picks One player Gates isn't hesitating to back this week is Cantlay, who doesn't bring great value but will help you win. BECOME A GNN MEMBER: Access a winning PGA Tour model, unique tools and in-depth analysis for just $50/year before the price doubles on March 1! All winners this millennium had previously made a cut at Pebble Beach in their career before winning, and most had a top 10 finish on their resume. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The American Express in this week's edition of the Power Rankings. Their names? And which overlooked players can help you win your league this week? The result: Rahm finished on top of the leaderboard, securing his eighth PGA Tour title after shooting 27-under par. Alex Noren: Noren is kind of in that Russell Henley territory as a guy that gains strokes in somewhat unspecatacular fashion. section: | slug: 2023-american-express-fantasy-golf-picks-lineups-advice-rankings-top-golf-expert-says-fade-jon-rahm | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS/NH), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), visit OPGR.org (OR), or 1-888-532-3500(VA). Fortunately, the same variance which makes him hilariously untrustworthy keeps his price from ever rising too high. Who wins the 2023 Genesis Invitational? Matchup Results from the Genesis Invitational: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Hovland (-130) over Im); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Hovland (-110) over Burns); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Cantlay (-111) over Morikawa); Gehman: PUSH (Hovland (-120) over Young); Mayo: 0 for 1; Powers: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-5-0 (up 5.1 units); Gehman: 9-5-2 (up 3.01 units); Lack: 4-3-0 (up 0.7 units); Powers: 8-8-0 (down 0.37 units); Mayo: 7-8-0 (down 1.56 units); Caddie: 7-9-0 (down 2.46 units); Gdula: 5-10-1 (down 5.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Honda Classic. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Odds and lines subject to change. Its wild to think about this, but if you put Henleys statistical profile next to Justin Thomas, they look very similar, aside from JTs elite off-the-tee game. On top of that, he lives in West Palm Beach, so this is a home game for him. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. Now, he gets to tee it up against a beatable field at a course hes finished inside the top five at twice since 2018. Yes, he did gain an unsustainable amount of strokes with the putter, but he did make noticeable progress off-the-tee and on approach from WMPO to the Genesis. The 28-year-old leads the tour in scoring average and strokes gained total. Before setting your fantasy golf rankings or making any 2023 Genesis Invitational picks, you need to see the fantasy golf projections and lineup advice from SportsLine fantasy expert Jim Holliman. RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. Sungjae Im is still showing up like he always does, and guys like Aaron Wise, Shane Lowry and Denny McCarthy will be in Palm Beach looking for a signature win. Theres analysis you wont find anywhere else. Of course, DFS golf is more popular than ever, which means its more competitive than ever, too. His putter has been lethal during the swing and into the new year, averaging almost +1.5 SG: PUTT over his past 20 rounds. Responsibly put your life savings on this matchupresponsibly. Rahm is the favorite, priced at 7-1 at Caesars Sportsbook, followed by McIlroy and Scheffler, both at 10-1. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Before you lock in your PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open, you'll want to see the latest daily Fantasy golf picks, advice and player pool from SportsLine's Mike McClure. 10. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Probably not, but were all going to have to hold our nose and swallow on a few bad numbers this week. When your one-elite skill (driving) is one of the most valuable a golfer can possess, its really only a matter of time before enough putts fall to stand in the winners circle. You can see it at SportsLine. Meanwhile, the other two in the group haven't been able to find their footing multiple weeks in a row. Hell see a reprieve in this weaker field and he should be brimming with confidence. Holliman says he has learned from his mistakes and is fully behind Rahm this week at Riviera. His last eight starts on the DP World Tour have all yielded top-13 finishes with five top-fours during that run. 6. Varner was a first-round leader twice in 2020, joining Collin Morikawa, Russell Knox and Sebastian Munoz as the only golfers to accomplish that feat more than once last year. While I am dubious on the 35-year-olds chances to raise the trophy, I expect him to find his way into contention this week in Palm Beach Gardens. 2023 The Honda Classic: Field | Tournament Model | Rankings| Betting Odds and First Looks | Course History & Current Form | DFS Picks | First-Round Leader Picks | One and Done | Past Results | Cheat Sheet | PGA Tour Event History | Recent Form | Finish Database | Discord. Gehman: Joseph Bramlett (50-1, DraftKings) Bramlett enters the week having made seven straight cuts and earning a T-13 in La Jolla and T-7 in Pebble Beach over his last two. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. About; Careers . With a 16th-place finish at TPC Twin Cities and a 13th-place finish at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, its clear that he does his best work on water-logged courses that place an emphasis on keeping the ball in play off the tee and middle-iron play, and I expect him to be firmly in the mix come Sunday afternoon at PGA National. You can play our free fantasy game and see how you measure up against our experts below. Gdula: Brandon Wu (95-1, FanDuel) Wu is pretty accurate with the driver and tends to gain strokes off-the-tee. The Northern Irishman was actually down by 10 through two holes Sunday but stormed back to claim the title. Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) are next in line at Caesars, and all are priced at more than $10,000 by DraftKings. Farmers: Jason Day. (Subscribe for video or audio).Mayo (@ThePME) won the 2021 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and was a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Hes cashed this bet in 6.25 percent of his starts since January 2019and while that is a small percentage of the time, you'll reap the benefits (usually with odds of 50-1 or greater) when it happens again. Cantlay was in the top 40 in every strokes gained category last season, and he leads the tour in greens in regulation so far in this campaign. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. That value ratio was third-best on tour, behind only Joel Dahmen and Ryan Palmer of all golfers with at least 20 starts. Gambling problem? From Pat Mayo, Mayo Media Network, DraftKings and Fantasy National analyst: Based on the amount of times he contended in 2020, its rather shocking Scheffler didnt break through and win. He was in the top 10 in every one. PGA TOUR Fantasy. Shane Lowry: Lowry is hopefully getting on the right track again after a T-14 finish at Riviera. managing editor: Denny McCarthy (28-1, DraftKings) Dennys been playing some great golfcontending at Pebble Beach (fourth-place) and playing well last week at the Genesis (T-14)and I think hes finally ready to break through for a victory. WMPO: Sungjae Im. He's gaining a staggering 3.25 strokes per round over his. 1. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. "He just keeps hanging around," Holliman says, "but he's rarely a true threat." Here's who else is playing PGA Tour Watch tour pro. Here are our. Poston currently ranks 20th in greens in regulation percentage (73.89%) and 29th in driving accuracy percentage (66.20%), so confidently lock him in your PGA DFS lineups and look for a big return this week at the 2023 Sony Open. But one of these weeks will be spectacular. Honda Classic picks 2023: Is it time for another breakthrough for Aaron Wise? Fortunately, putting tends to have massive swings to the positive and negative each week, so if Conners can continue to strike the ball as well as he did in 2020, its just going to take an average putting performance or two to find his second tour win. Head to SportsLine now to see his top daily Fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open 2023. Several of the world's top golfers come into this week's PGA Tour event in top form, and they should have little trouble scoring low in The American Express 2023. Caddie: Lee Hodges (+450, DraftKings) Lee is coming off a great performance at Riviera and like I mentioned earlier, these two courses are very similar in the ball-striking department. Visit SportsLine now to get Jim Holliman's Fantasy golf rankings for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, all from the fantasy expert with his finger on the pulse of the game, and find out. Being an Alabama alum, he is no stranger to golf in the south either. The Spaniard's improvement on and around the greens makes him a player without weakness. Now he enters a tournament where his iron play is the class of the field, ranking ninth in this field in SG/approach over his last 36 rounds. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Aaron Wise (25-1, FanDuel) While Aaron Wise was a popular breakout candidate pick at the start of the season, its undeniable that he has not gotten off to the start that many were hoping for. He was in the bottom 10-percentile in strokes gained/putting and was 237th of 280 players in SG/around the greens. I like Adam this week for numerous reasons. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Course history has been strong at Pebble Beach. 1, but Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm can make an argument for being the best. Gehman: Min Woo Lee (-110) over Matt Kuchar (Bet365) Golf is a global game and Min Woo Lee is crushing it right now. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. You can play our free fantasy game and see how you measure up against our experts below. Six first-round leaders have gone on to win at Pebble Beach since 2000, as Nick Taylor became the sixth in 2020. In my opinion, Wise is a top-five player in this field, behind only Sungjae Im, Shane Lowry and Billy Horschel, and we are catching him at a more than fair price due to his slow start to the season. Holliman has been a writer and editor for nearly 25 years and has been playing and following the game closely for more than three decades. Holliman has one stunning prediction for this week: Fantasy players should fade Rahm and look for better value. Ryan occasionally links to merchants of his choosing, and GNN may earn a commission from sales generated by those links. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. In fact, the model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. Fading Hideki. Scanning through his five career international wins between the DP World and Challenge Tours, they all come on a combination of short, links and/or wind-affected tracks with his best U.S. finishes all coming at more difficult than average courses: TPC Southwind, Torrey Pines, St. Georges and The Concession. Head to SportsLine now to see his top daily Fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open 2023. 2022 3M Open Fantasy golf expert picks Im has been in a rut for a few weeks, but Gates isn't hesitating to back the South Korean this week. And last week, bargain pick Matt Kuchar ($7,900) posted a top-10 finish and two more picks were in the top 15. Redman is proving to be one of the more talented ball-strikers on tour, finishing 11th in strokes gained/approach for the 2020 seasonand he has already improved his putting, lifting him to two top-four finishes in six starts in the new season. Doc Redman's elite ball-striking numbersplus some great finishes to end 2020have the attention of our experts. Mayo: Aaron Wise (22-1, DraftKings) Maybe hes actually priced properly, but even with the weak field, I cant bet him at a shorter price than I laid with Homa last week. American Express: Brian Harman. RELATED: Honda Classic picks 2023: Our DFS expert's case for playing this breakout star at PGA National. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your. Hes got three top-10s to his name on tour since July without great form surrounding them. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Hennessey: Chris Kirk As I mentioned above, I love Kirk as a top-10 bet this weekand though he might not have the winning equity youd want in a One and Done bet, the consistency is reason to go with him here. 11:51 am ET, see the latest daily Fantasy golf picks, advice and player pool from SportsLine's Mike McClure, Head to SportsLine now to see his top daily Fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open 2023, Visit SportsLine now to see the complete PGA DFS player pool for FanDuel and DraftKings, all from the expert who's made over $2 million in daily Fantasy sports, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, PGA DFS: 2023 Sony Open picks, lineups, advice, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars.